29/08/14. Analysis of the combat situation in the Donbas from military analyst

[DARPA]

1 While the assault Mariupol no and maybe with it will not be in a hurry. DRG militias bypassed Mariupol, where the junta pulled all that is possible, and engaged the enemy on the route Mariupol, Berdyansk and the territory of Zaporizhzhya region, which now dominates Kolomoysky for themselves. Here militias operate in the actual operational vacuum, so only a lack of forces and mechanized units do not make this progress even faster. Here Novorossia still have a few days, during which they will develop this success. Frontal assault Mariupol maloperspektiven now, though not eliminated, if armored vehicles and artillery promptly promoted to the approaches to Mariupol. It should be remembered that the troops in Mariupol, though many - to 3 000 + a bit of art, but their morale is poor.
2 Southern Front is split into a series of boilers, which digest. The junta has great damages, poking surrounded by militia forces in order, trying to find where the slack. This leads to bloody battles in which both sides suffered heavy losses. Activity is quite clear - a few more days, and supply problems would tie surrounded by the immobilized vehicle. In this case, the militia do not lose hope to form a "Volnovakha pot", while the junta is trying to save someone can - unlocking surrounded with Yelenovka they caused further blow to Yasinovataya in order to divert part of the militia forces of the Southern Front - operative values ​​this frontal shot has.
In general, the fighting north of Donetsk are now minor and basically gives character to what is happening south of the capital DNI.
3 The junta quickly chases reserves, trying to stop the consequences of defeat, 2-3 days to the south-west of Donetsk will build a semblance of the front line, to restore connectivity cut in half groups junta Donbas.
Combat capability nominated often questionable. Technique to compensate for losses in the increasingly difficult. According to the integral is estimated that in the case of defeat surrounded by parts of the southern front, the junta will be able to keep only one and a half advantage over the people, and two-fold in the armor that, in light of what is happening will be an irreparable disaster. Gradually junta loses its main trump card associated with an overwhelming superiority in technology and artillery, infantry and low quality comes to the fore.