08/31/14. 1:07. Overview of the Donbas 31 August from military analyst

[DARPA]

LC
"1 The situation on the northern front in the LC is stable. Offensive militias developed here is shaky, or rolls, significant progress on the northern front is not here, there is tactical successes. However, the junta holds part of a village Lugansk and prevents conduct operations on the environment forces located to the north of Lugansk.

2 As part of the battle for Lutugino militias were able to take part of the village, although stated that they took the whole city, in fact, the junta continues to cling to this town and taking full Lutugino speak prematurely, now there are fights. Our press, but the junta has steadfastly resisted, because the consequences of putting Lutugino will be operational in nature - increase transport connection Novorossia, which, coupled with the likely loss of Debalcevo next week, will facilitate the Army Novorossia conduct offensive operations with the use of extensions.

3 As the junta finally discarded from Novosvetlovki and finally eliminated the consequences of breaking the junta troops to track Lugansk-Krasnodon. Took it from the militias are not 2 days as a brave after breakthrough, and more than a week. But most importantly, that the result achieved and the issue with the goods for Lugansk will be addressed a little bit easier.

4 Questions Ataman Kozitsyn and several other warlords LC who do not obey anyone, now are quite serious. Headquarters in Krasnodon serious about in the foreseeable future to do away with the lack of unity of command and Makhnovshchina. Actually, a significant problem with LC is that the local militia is much slower than in the DNI is transformed into an army, plus some of the commanders involved in addition to the war is not those things that needs to be addressed. Hence the sluggish battle against the airfield and butting on the northern front. There is not even valid junta business, and organizational weaknesses militia LC, which on good work and work. According to my sources in the foreseeable future, this work on the reconstruction of the LC in full militia army planned. Will it? Hopefully.

5 mode on the border with one hand tightened, but on the other hand has become more transparent, according to the boundary, the level of crime and lawlessness frank few fell. Began delivery of the autumn-winter clothing, by the end of the month expect partial closure needs volunteers in a warm manner. Just to clarify the question on the nomenclature of goods necessary to the warring militias - the priority was asked to do on the professional radio with the ability to encrypt, radio stations to coordinate militias, drones, night vision, thermal imaging, unloading. One of these days I will lay out a more detailed list of the nomenclature necessary according to the requests of military structures of New Russia. "

DNR

"1 At the front stretching from Avdeyevka to Debalcevo, in general, the situation has changed a little, there formed static front, where the parties are not yet able to achieve decisive results, although the militia are working to strengthen the position of holding the corridor to poluokruzhennoy Gorlovka, as well as trying to more tightly cover Debalcevo. Similarly, the two sides are actively firing at each other's positions, plus the junta continues to terrorist attacks Donetsk. lot of people ask why, if our steps on the south, Donetsk still rake. essentially, only taking Debalcevo, Avdiyivka, Marinka and Karlivka and have same clearing junta with the Donetsk airport, you can eliminate the system capabilities to continue the systematic targeting of Donetsk. Meanwhile northern front costs, attacks will continue. According to our estimates - another 1.5-2 weeks, after which some will try to return to the capital of the DNI.

2 South of Kurakhovo junta now hastily trying to rebuild the front cut onset militias. Unified front lines as such, no, there are several barriers and armored group, which the junta is trying to attack the outer ring of encirclement of troops sitting in the boiler to the west of Starabeshevo. Since volunteers are almost all related to force the blockade of boilers, the activity in the main exhibit DRG operating in the rear of the junta, and the main forces are concentrated on the outer and inner ring of encirclement. In this case, if we talk about the situation in the outer ring of the environment, then both sides there is not enough forces for offensive operations.

3 boiler under Deakovo still not eliminated. Apparently, the militia are passed to the usual blockade environment, which offered the usual conditions of delivery, including the output from the Russian border. To think quickly surrounded by periodically shelled, but not too much - the main force of artillery and MLRS strapped to other areas.

4 Amvrosievsky boiler continues on the one hand to please the big losses junta in men and materiel, punitive battalion "Donbass-1", judging by the hysterical Sementchenko already the 4th time since the beginning of the war was defeated.
Today began the process of "humanitarian corridor", where part of the junta's troops actually discharged from the boiler in exchange for the release of "Russian paratroopers" and some other not-called compromise. Would it be the trophies, weapons, or any political commitment, we learn in the coming days. You have to understand that, in parallel with the war, now there are active consultations where trying to work out the terms of trade for defining the boundaries between Novorossia (which apparently will be independent of the state of Ukraine) and the remains of Ukraine. The defeat at Ilovaiskaya and Amvrosievka generally eliminated the threat from the south of Donetsk. Something that can release it will be the remnants of tattered pieces with low morals.
Militias in a hurry to resume the offensive to the Dnieper, but I think they made the decision in Moscow without much enthusiasm. But political expediency prevailed over the military.

5 In the south of the Sea of ​​Azov in the offensive continues militia DNR. Taking Novoazovsk militias while shying away from direct assault Mariupol and flow around him with DRG, intercepting track at Berdyansk, clearing the small roadblocks and taking unprotected settlements. Interception of the road west of Mariupol, created not only a threat to the operational environment of the city (which can be supplied by sea), but also creates a distant threat Berdyansk, where forces are not so many.
It should be understood that the west of Mariupol and within the boundaries of the Zaporozhye region mostly operate small groups of DRGs, which have the most favorable conditions, due to lack of a coherent front of the enemy, which is clinging to the larger settlements. In the coming days will nominate armor and artillery from Novoazovsk - it goes either directly to Mariupol, or more likely, it will begin to get it, going to the borders of the Zaporozhye region and Berdyansk. With the accumulation of sufficient forces, militia can develop as an attack on Mariupol, and choose a more ambitious plan to blow on Berdyansk and deployment of full-scale hostilities in the territory of Zaporizhzhya region with the aim of taking the capital LRRH, which clung Kolomoysky.

In general, the militia continues to use the effects of the defeat of the southern front of the junta, which will free up sufficient area and start fighting outside the NPT, is politically significant. At the same time, we see how underhanded political processes begin to influence the situation at the front, as if hinting that all will eventually be resolved in negotiations.
In this case, there is confirmed information that in the next week to begin a major offensive against the militia with ambitious goals. I look forward to the implementation of this plan. It will please many.