Syrian scenario in Ukraine

[HainanWel.com(e)!]

" Regnum " reports that in the boundary part , which today militia stormed Lugansk, began surrender . Surrendered about 120 troops, including officers. Resistance fighters continue "right sector " , which , apparently , are assigned to the order as zagradpodrazdeleniya . It seems that the presence of these people and did not allow border guards to lay down their arms before.

It is possible that in the headquarters and the situation looks similar way - the pilot who killed people near the building today Luhansk administration , received orders from the command, which is quite possibly not risk oppose commissioners from the junta .

The situation with the war crimes that are committed daily against civilians Donetsk and Lugansk completely out of control - decisions are made at the tactical level , and now yesterday Gopnik who burned "Berkut " on Hrushevskoho today can be put to give orders to the colonels and generals . Level of understanding of the consequences and responsibility for criminal orders remains the same - at street level Hrushevskoho . Blissful who are admitted to the management of a belligerent army - it is certainly the last touch. Only rejoice that Ukraine is a non-nuclear country .

While no one is shot and can not remove the responsibility from the military, who are subject to criminal frankly orders. Most likely, in the zone of military ATU today remains the most filth and scum of the Ukrainian army , and so much soul-searching , and they do not. Plus, do not forget about the promotion , elution remnants of common sense. Even at today's catapulted the Ukrainian media about suicide bombing buildings RSA militia fired rockets from MANPADS can be judged by the degree of sanity audience - the part Svidomo even thought there was a picture of devastation and compare " evidence ." Unlikely military geniuses APU look at the background of their fellow citizens. Said - MANPADS means MANPADS.
Anyway, but the level of use of increasingly lethal weapons all the time increases. Generally , if we compare the dynamics of the Ukrainian crisis bloodiest today Syrian crisis , we can say that the Ukrainian looks much more serious. Daily number of victims was close to 100 dead per day. For a month the active phase of the punitive expedition death toll in Ukraine including killed in Odessa and Mariupol , including data on the losses militia , army and civilians in the DNI and the LC can be more than confident to talk about 2.5-3 thousand dead - and the lower limit evaluation.

Such indicators Syrian war reached only after one year of events that eventually led to today's full-scale war . Ukraine moves toward Syria at approximately two times faster. If the trend continues, by the end of this year it will be possible to talk about the loss of hundreds of people a day . Given that punishers cease to fear the responsibility for the use of all tools available to them defeat these assumptions look even optimistic.

Unfortunately , talking about some Russian policies towards the rebels areas is no longer necessary - likely the population of Donetsk and Lugansk should be fully self go all the way to protect their independence. Little doubt that the militia will be able to keep the situation and eventually expel punitive , no. Crush the revolt of such scale in Kiev will not work - but for independence in similar circumstances would have to pay a huge price . Both human and material terms . Punishers very soon cease to be considered with costs and will use all available weapons on the area - no other way for them to do but too unreliable and too hopeless war militarily punishers . The only kind of fighting that in such conditions can lead Kiev - remote war to destroy objects and shooting unarmed people Sonderkommandos mercenaries.

Problem Kiev is quite clear - to prevent the proliferation of the territory of the uprising. Rebels seize area they have nothing , to control - even more so. But pour their blood and intimidate neighboring region - is quite capable. Another problem in Kiev is not yet visible. And if in this way will destroy tens of thousands of civilians - will destroy them . There is no doubt . Especially because no one any liability incurred .