Until recently, Putin has acted correctly, - the ex-officer of the French intelligence about Syria

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Until recently, Putin has acted correctly, - the ex-officer of the French intelligence about Syria

Сообщение HainanWel.com(e)! » 16 мар 2016, 12:19

Looking through the European media reaction to classified withdrawal of Russian troops from only complaints meet Syria on how "hard look into Putin's head and see what he thinks." It is extremely rare exceptions to the general state of puzzlement, sojourns at today's newspapers.

One exception - this interview Alain Rodier, a former high-ranking officer of the French secret services and intelligence deputy research director of the institute. Rodier specializes on Islamist terrorism, and the genesis of organized criminal structures, is the author of numerous articles and several books on these topics.
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The withdrawal of Russian troops, according to the author, sends a "first signal to Assad - Putin wants to make it more amenable to the ongoing Geneva talks."
But the signal is also sent to the West and Iran. For Rodier obvious that Putin wants to show as their willingness to negotiate, as well as the fact that he is "not tied to Assad."
"The future is still difficult to predict but, in any case, the ball is now in Bashar al-Assad," - says the author. Soon we will know whether or not he agreed to go in the direction suggested by Russia.

But we must be careful: most likely, the actual departure from Syria is not the goal of Putin, warns intelligence. On the contrary, because the ship aircraft carrier "Admiral Kuznetsov" is to come to the shores of Syria this summer. "So it could be" Cchitaetsya Rodier, "Putin leads aircraft to the ground in order to expose them to the sea," that is, that it is above all a political maneuver.

For most of Syria, according to the author, the withdrawal of Russian troops are now completely out of place.

For the first time Russian forces stopped the attack Al-Nusra, which has captured the province of Idlib. It was dangerous to Latakia - Assad stronghold. In the last year there was a chaotic situation and Russian support for their just saved. Fall Latakia would mean the fall of Assad.

Further, Russian aid helped Assad to seize the initiative and go on the offensive, as can be seen on Aleppo, where government forces were able to cut the connection of the north with Turkey (but this relationship still remains in Idlib province in the west). Already Assad troops began an offensive in the direction of Raqqa - LIH capital. We are talking here about the "tactical biting pieces of territory", which would be impossible without Russia's help.

"To be honest, until recently, Putin has acted quite correctly. Full withdrawal from Syria would now overshadowed military victory - it would lead to political defeat. "- Says Alain Rodier.

And what about Assad? The author believes that it will begin to act more gently, though perhaps more express their displeasure in some way.

More important today is to realize that decides to Tehran, which has lost some of its influence in Syria through Russia.
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The press secretary, Dmitry Peskov, the President has already answered the question of whether the decision on the withdrawal of troops has nothing to do with what any disagreement or dissatisfaction with Assad's tough position in mezhsiriyskih negotiations.

In addition, we are not talking about the complete withdrawal of Russian troops from the territory of Syria. Security database Hmeymim and Tartous will be provided both from the air and from the ground. Do not be answered and whether leave Syria anti-aircraft missile systems S-400.

So that neither the military nor the political defeat, as well as the cooling of relations with the head of the Syrian state the question. But it is possible that this step will have a positive impact on the outcome of the Geneva talks on the settlement of the situation in Syria.
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